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Basic Characteristics of Mutations
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Mutation Site
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D614G |
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Mutation Site Sentence
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Modelling the association between COVID-19 transmissibility and D614G substitution in SARS-CoV-2 spike protein: using the surveillance data in California as an example. |
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Mutation Level
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Amino acid level |
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Mutation Type
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Nonsynonymous substitution |
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Gene/Protein/Region
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S |
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Standardized Encoding Gene
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S
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Genotype/Subtype
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- |
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Viral Reference
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EPI_ISL_402125
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Functional Impact and Mechanisms
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Disease
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COVID-19
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Immune
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- |
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Target Gene
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-
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Clinical and Epidemiological Correlations
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Clinical Information
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- |
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Treatment
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- |
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Location
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- |
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Literature Information
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PMID
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33750399
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Title
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Modelling the association between COVID-19 transmissibility and D614G substitution in SARS-CoV-2 spike protein: using the surveillance data in California as an example
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Author
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Zhao S,Lou J,Cao L,Zheng H,Chong MKC,Chen Z,Zee BCY,Chan PKS,Wang MH
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Journal
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Theoretical biology & medical modelling
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Journal Info
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2021 Mar 9;18(1):10
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Abstract
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BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic poses a serious threat to global health, and pathogenic mutations are a major challenge to disease control. We developed a statistical framework to explore the association between molecular-level mutation activity of SARS-CoV-2 and population-level disease transmissibility of COVID-19. METHODS: We estimated the instantaneous transmissibility of COVID-19 by using the time-varying reproduction number (R(t)). The mutation activity in SARS-CoV-2 is quantified empirically depending on (i) the prevalence of emerged amino acid substitutions and (ii) the frequency of these substitutions in the whole sequence. Using the likelihood-based approach, a statistical framework is developed to examine the association between mutation activity and R(t). We adopted the COVID-19 surveillance data in California as an example for demonstration. RESULTS: We found a significant positive association between population-level COVID-19 transmissibility and the D614G substitution on the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein. We estimate that a per 0.01 increase in the prevalence of glycine (G) on codon 614 is positively associated with a 0.49% (95% CI: 0.39 to 0.59) increase in R(t), which explains 61% of the R(t) variation after accounting for the control measures. We remark that the modeling framework can be extended to study other infectious pathogens. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings show a link between the molecular-level mutation activity of SARS-CoV-2 and population-level transmission of COVID-19 to provide further evidence for a positive association between the D614G substitution and R(t). Future studies exploring the mechanism between SARS-CoV-2 mutations and COVID-19 infectivity are warranted.
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Sequence Data
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-
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